Videos

Interviews

Video: A US Nuclear Renaissance?

Video: A US Nuclear Renaissance?

22 Mar 2024
Tan Kai Xian
Over the last two decades, the share of nuclear power in the US energy mix has flatlined. Yet with the US signed up to carbon emission reduction targets and power-hungry tech firms looking for clean energy sources to power their vast server farms, there is a renewed impetus to develop modern nuclear options.
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Video: The Importance Of TikTok

Video: The Importance Of TikTok

14 Mar 2024
Louis-Vincent Gave
The US House of Representatives’ approval of a bill aimed at forcing China’s Bytedance to divest TikTok has implications in areas far beyond the future of the wildly popular video-sharing platform. In this short video interview, Louis Gave examines the potential consequences for media freedom, for US-owned big-tech platforms, and for foreign investment in the United States.
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Video: Peering Through The China Policy Opacity

Video: Peering Through The China Policy Opacity

8 Mar 2024
Christopher Beddor
The first week of March saw China’s government present its economic policy targets and fiscal plans for the year ahead. In this video interview, Christopher peers through the official fog to assess the degree of policy support on offer for China’s economy and discusses how this affects the growth outlook.
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Video: China’s New Economic Trajectory

Video: China’s New Economic Trajectory

29 Feb 2024
Arthur Kroeber
China’s disappointing economic growth over the past year has led many to conclude that it is heading into the same deflationary trap that swallowed Japan in the 1990s. In this video, Arthur discusses the comparison and China’s growth outlook, as well as the government’s new policy priorities and geopolitical risks ahead.
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Video: More Trouble Ahead For Commercial Real Estate

Video: More Trouble Ahead For Commercial Real Estate

23 Feb 2024
Tan Kai Xian
US commercial real estate has been a slow-moving train wreck for more than a year now. But over the coming months, the sector’s problems are set to accelerate. Sales by troubled Chinese investors have resurrected price discovery, and are likely to force US institutions into markdowns. In turn this will hurt the value of assets held by lenders to the sector, including pension funds and private equity funds. Tan Kai Xian assesses the extent of the damage.
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Video: Gulf States In Transition

Video: Gulf States In Transition

15 Feb 2024
Tom Miller
Fresh back from a research trip to the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia, Gavekal geopolitical analyst Tom Miller shares his impressions of Saudi’s efforts to transform its economy and diversify away from its dependence on petroleum, talks about the effect of the Gaza conflict on regional relations, and assesses the state of the Gulf countries’ relationships with the world’s two economic superpowers: the United States and China.
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Video: The Chinese Equity Rout

Video: The Chinese Equity Rout

8 Feb 2024
Thomas Gatley
On Wednesday, China replaced its stock market regulator as part of a series of choreographed interventions seemingly intended to bolster support for bombed-out equities and so avert a spiral of decline in the nation’s asset markets. In this video interview, Thomas argues that the combined effect of recent macro policy moves in addition to market support actions should allow a solid bounce in Chinese equities. What comes after that is far less clear.
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Video: Pricing Europe’s Populist Surge

Video: Pricing Europe’s Populist Surge

1 Feb 2024
Cedric Gemehl
In this video interview, Cedric Gemehl digs into the polling numbers for June's European Parliament election and explains how Europe’s institutions will likely adapt to a possible electoral shock amid a political economy of protest movements across the continent.
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Video: The Fed Closes An Arb Opportunity

Video: The Fed Closes An Arb Opportunity

25 Jan 2024
Will Denyer
In trying to prop up US banks after the Silicon Valley Bank bust in March last year, the Federal Reserve introduced a liquidity facility known as the Bank Term Funding Program. Banks in November and December started to take advantage of a widening arbitrage opportunity from this facility.
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Video: A Golden Path For Bitcoin?

Video: A Golden Path For Bitcoin?

17 Jan 2024
Will Denyer
Dismissed not long ago as a phantom of negative-real-rate delirium, bitcoin is up nearly 60% over the last three months, with the run-up propelled in part by prospects for the launch of spot bitcoin ETFs. In this video interview, Gavekal US chief economist Will Denyer examines the underpinnings of the rally, and asks whether there are lessons to be learned from the rollout of gold ETFs 20 years ago.
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Events

Webinar: Global Investment Roundtable, October 2022

Webinar: Global Investment Roundtable, October 2022

14 Oct 2022
Anatole Kaletsky, Arthur Kroeber, Charles Gave
As fears mount for the growth outlook around the world, Arthur Kroeber examined the state of China’s economy and what to expect (and what not to expect) from China’s upcoming Communist Party Congress. Anatole Kaletsky presented his latest views on growth and inflation. And Charles Gave discussed optimum portfolio construction for troubled times.
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Paris Seminar, October 2022 (In French)

Paris Seminar, October 2022 (In French)

7 Oct 2022
Cedric Gemehl, Didier Darcet, Louis-Vincent Gave
The speakers discussed the global investment outlook, provided an update on European markets and outlined the latest research on portfolio construction.
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Webinar: Mad Currency Markets

Webinar: Mad Currency Markets

7 Oct 2022
Will Denyer, Nick Andrews, Wei He, Udith Sikand
The US dollar continues to make new highs, dragging the rest of the world’s currencies lower and forcing central banks to tighten monetary policy to deal with resulting threats of financial instability and heightened inflation. In this webinar, our team of currency-focused analysts looked at the effect of the current global liquidity crisis in their regions.
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Webinar: Who Owns China Inc.?

Webinar: Who Owns China Inc.?

30 Sep 2022
Thomas Gatley
Thomas Gatley discussed his in-depth research into who owns China’s listed firms and answered viewer questions. Over the past decade a new hybrid form of ownership has emerged, which arguably represents the corporate form best adapted to succeed in China’s state capitalist economy. But there are risks to this new model.
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Webinar: Into Europe's Winter Of Discontent

Webinar: Into Europe's Winter Of Discontent

21 Sep 2022
Cedric Gemehl, Nick Andrews
With European energy prices for the coming winter up by 500% or more, inflation broadening, and businesses and consumers pessimistic, Europe’s economies are in for a troubled few months. Cedric Gemehl and Nick Andrews discuss what it all means.
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Webinar: China's Economic Troubles Mount

Webinar: China's Economic Troubles Mount

16 Sep 2022
Rosealea Yao, Ernan Cui
China's economy faces two critical challenges: A property sector is in its worst slump in years. And the economic impact of persistent Covid lockdowns caused by sporadic outbreaks from more transmissible Covid variants. In this webinar, Dragonomics analysts discussed the challenges.
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Webinar: Global Investment Roundtable, September 2022

Webinar: Global Investment Roundtable, September 2022

9 Sep 2022
Anatole Kaletsky, Charles Gave, Arthur Kroeber
Anatole outlined the global growth and inflation outlook, and why financial markets have yet to fully adjust; Charles presented his thinking on the dissolution of the post-World-War-Two order and what this means for assets; and Arthur gave an update on China ahead of the 20th Party Congress.
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Webinar: Inflation, Recession, Liquidity Crisis — Navigating Troubled Economic Waters

Webinar: Inflation, Recession, Liquidity Crisis — Navigating Troubled Economic Waters

22 Jul 2022
Anatole Kaletsky, Charles Gave, Will Denyer
In this webinar Anatole Kaletsky and Will Denyer discussed the outlook for the US economy and markets over the next 18 months. Additionally, Charles Gave gave an update on the evolving international US dollar liquidity crisis.
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Webinar: Your Questions About China Answered

Webinar: Your Questions About China Answered

15 Jul 2022
Thomas Gatley, Ernan Cui, Arthur Kroeber
China today is a major source of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. Its zero-Covid policy has a significant economic cost, the recovery of the property and tech sectors remains in doubt and the close relationship with Russia raises geopolitical questions. In this webinar, our team attempted to sort out these perplexities.
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Webinar: What Next For Emerging Markets?

Webinar: What Next For Emerging Markets?

8 Jul 2022
Udith Sikand, Vincent Tsui, Tom Miller
Amid a broad-based tightening of global financial conditions, there are fears that emerging markets as an asset class could get caught in the downdraft. Yet notably, EM assets have not underperformed those in developed markets; in the case of currencies, they have outperformed.
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