Gavekal Dragonomics

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Paris Seminar, May 2022 (In French)

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Paris Seminar, May 2022 (In French)

Cedric Gemehl, Didier Darcet, Louis-Vincent Gave, Charles Gave
18 May 2022
Gavekal CEO Louis Gave, along with Europe analyst Cedric Gemehl and Gavekal Intelligence Software's quantitative research principal Didier Darcet, discussed the global investment outlook, provided an update on European markets and outlined the latest research on portfolio construction.
Lockdowns Hammer The Economy

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Lockdowns Hammer The Economy

Dragonomics Team
16 May 2022
Every major indicator declined last month, missing already low expectations. The Dragonomics team argues that the economy is unlikely to improve significantly next month, and is likely to grow very slowly or even contract in the second quarter.

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Legislating Financial Stability

Wei He, Xiaoxi Zhang
13 May 2022
Policymakers have recently taken two new steps intended to manage moral hazard: the publication of a draft Financial Stability Law and the announcement of an upcoming “financial stability guarantee fund.” Wei and Xiaoxi argue that such steps should result in a somewhat more standardized approach to handling troubled financial institutions.

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Webinar: Global Investment Roundtable, May 2022

Charles Gave, Anatole Kaletsky
13 May 2022
As inflation rises and central banks move to tighten monetary policy, global markets have become progressively more skittish. Charles Gave and Anatole Kaletsky address the state of the global economy and offer their best advice on structuring portfolios.

Featured report

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Macro Update: Growth Interrupted

Dragonomics Team
27 Apr 2022
As 2022 opened, China’s economy showed signs of stabilizing as the government shifted to a more supportive policy stance. That trajectory has now been abruptly interrupted by the lockdown of Shanghai and many other major cities to stamp out Covid-19. In our latest quarterly chartbook, the Dragonomics team outlines how this shock will affect the economy, policy and markets.

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Huawei’s Survival Strategy
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Tilly Zhang
The Property Policy Reversal
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Rosealea Yao, Xiaoxi Zhang
The Reopening Continues, For Most
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Ernan Cui
Multinationals Turn Cautious
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Dan Wang
The Politburo Calls For Growth
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Wei He
Macro Update: Growth Interrupted
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Dragonomics Team
Lockdown Scenarios For China
Andrew Batson, Ernan Cui
The Renminbi Enters A Depreciation Cycle
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Wei He

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Securing The Western Frontier

Tom Miller
16 Dec 2021
China looks like a winner from the US withdrawal from Afghanistan, now free to tighten its grip on Central Asia. In this DeepChina report, Tom explains the complex reality of the latest round of the "great game." China is getting closer to Russia, skeptical of Afghanistan and Pakistan, and consolidating its economic hold on Turkmenistan.

Stocks

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A User's Guide To The Chinese Stock Market

Thomas Gatley
2 Apr 2019
China’s onshore equity markets are now large and accessible enough that they can no longer be ignored by foreign investors—but idiosyncratic enough that they are hard to understand. This in-depth DeepChina report explains the fundamentals: What is there to invest in? Who owns the market? How can foreigners invest? How is the market regulated?

Bonds

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A User's Guide To The Chinese Bond Market

Wei He, Xiaoxi Zhang
30 Jun 2021
The expansion and opening of China’s onshore renminbi bond market is one of the biggest changes to the structure of global financial markets in recent years, one that investors are still grappling with. In this comprehensive 30-page DeepChina report, our analysts present a guide to the nature and functioning of this important market.