Videos

Interviews

 
Video: Industrialists Against Economists

Video: Industrialists Against Economists

17 Oct 2024
Fresh back from kicking the policy tires in Washington and Brussels, Gavekal geopolitical analyst Yanmei Xie describes two economies in which policymakers are grappling with how to live and thrive in the same world as an ever more competitive China.
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Video: The ECB Reaction To A New Era

Video: The ECB Reaction To A New Era

10 Oct 2024
Ahead of next Thursday’s policy meeting of the European Central Bank, the market is betting heavily on an interest rate cut. In this video interview, Cedric argues that the market is probably right in its view but cautions that risks are titled towards hawkish surprises as this economic backdrop does not presage a return to the disinflationary environment seen in the pre-pandemic years.
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Video: The US Political Economy Of Inflation

Video: The US Political Economy Of Inflation

2 Oct 2024
The issue of inflation is figuring heavily in the US presidential campaign and was the subject of debate between the vice president candidates on Wednesday. In this video interview, Will addresses the political economy of inflation in late 2024 in the US and suggests ways that investors should think about the reaction function of policymakers.
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Video: The Market Story Of Modi 3.0

Video: The Market Story Of Modi 3.0

27 Sep 2024
Indian equities have surged to new highs in recent months. That is perhaps surprising given that Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government is increasingly constrained in its legislative agenda. Udith, however, argues that despite international investors warming up to China’s improved market prospects, India's equity rally should be sustained since Indian investors stand ready to fill any gaps left by departing foreign institutions.
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Video: Beyond The Slide In Energy Prices

Video: Beyond The Slide In Energy Prices

11 Sep 2024
In the last two months, oil prices have slumped -20%, with the international Brent crude benchmark falling to a shade above US$70/bbl and energy names underperforming broader US equity indexes. Louis examines the reasons behind the recent slide and assesses the near and long-term supply-demand pictures in energy markets.
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Video: India Still A Bright Spot

Video: India Still A Bright Spot

5 Sep 2024
In this interview, Udith discusses the story behind the numbers of India’s latest GDP release and offers his views on the monetary environment for the rest of the year and what this means for Indian asset markets.
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Video: Animal Spirits In China

Video: Animal Spirits In China

29 Aug 2024
The business environment in China has changed markedly over the past few years. On a recent trip to Beijing and Shanghai, Tom met foreign executives who lament the changed environment yet still crave access to China’s huge market. He also ran into domestic firms that thrived in recent decades but are struggling to turn a profit in an economy being directed at self-sufficiency. Yet for those who are on the right side of change in China’s big cities, he says they can benefit from cheap living costs and a good quality of life.
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Video: Promises And Policies

Video: Promises And Policies

23 Aug 2024
Following the finale of the Democratic convention in Chicago, Will and KX look at the headline economic policy proposals of the two candidates—on tax rates, housing, inflation, industrial policy and trade—examine where and how they diverge, and assess the likely effects of different possible outcomes in November for asset prices and the US dollar.
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Video: Self-Driving Cars And Tech Hype Cycles

Video: Self-Driving Cars And Tech Hype Cycles

16 Aug 2024
In markets, this year has been dominated by artificial intelligence. Nearly a decade ago, the hyped-up tech de jour was autonomous vehicles. Now it appears as if years of testing and development are starting to bear fruit. Will recently took his first robo-taxi ride in San Francisco and in this interview he examines the state of the technology, the scale of the rollout and who stands to benefit, or lose, from mass market adoption.
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Video: The Yen Carry Trade And Emerging Markets

Video: The Yen Carry Trade And Emerging Markets

9 Aug 2024
Usually when developed market volatility spikes, the world’s emerging markets fall victim to collateral damage. Things have been less simple this time around. Although Latin American currencies, especially the Mexican peso, have been hit hard by the unwinding of the yen carry trade, East Asian currencies have risen strongly. Udith Sikand explores what lies behind the divergence.
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Events

Webinar: Will China Change The Global Monetary System… And How?

Webinar: Will China Change The Global Monetary System… And How?

23 May 2024
Most investors and financial analysts take the stability of the global monetary system for granted. However, each of the distinguished speakers in this three-way conversation thinks that China will change the global monetary system, they just don’t agree on how, and how fast it will be changed.
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Webinar: Currency Stresses

Webinar: Currency Stresses

16 May 2024
The policy approaches of major economies are diverging, leading to unstable currency markets with more than a hint of beggar-thy-neighbor at work. Our team of country specialists seek to explain what comes next.
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Webinar: China's Property Puzzle

Webinar: China's Property Puzzle

3 May 2024
China’s property market is off to an awful start to 2024, and the government’s efforts to shore up the sector appear to be gaining no traction. Rosealea Yao and Xiaoxi Zhang join Christopher Beddor to unpack what exactly is driving the recent weakness and why policymakers are not doing more to help, as well as what it all means for commodity markets, the financial sector and economic growth ahead.
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Webinar: Into The Upswing

Webinar: Into The Upswing

25 Apr 2024
In this webinar Gavekal’s analysts review the themes driving growth across the world’s major economic regions, and discuss how macro developments are likely to drive financial markets over the remainder of 2024.
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Webinar: Forward To The 1970s? Investing For An Inflationary Age

Webinar: Forward To The 1970s? Investing For An Inflationary Age

18 Apr 2024
With inflation reaccelerating in the US, energy prices rising and escalating conflict in the Middle East, 2024 is beginning to feel uncomfortably reminiscent of the early 1970s. In this webinar, Gavekal’s founding partners examine how investors have mispriced the risk of permanently higher inflation, and discuss how to structure portfolios for a less forgiving macro environment in which bonds no longer serve to hedge exposure to equities.
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Webinar: The Coming Age Of Protectionism

Webinar: The Coming Age Of Protectionism

4 Apr 2024
This webinar examines the probable extent of anti-China protectionism around the world, assesses the consequences for China's manufacturing industries and growth outlook, and gauges the risk to other economies of Chinese retaliation.
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Webinar: Animal Spirits In The Emerging Markets

Webinar: Animal Spirits In The Emerging Markets

22 Mar 2024
While US tech stocks have been getting all the publicity, capital has quietly been flowing into emerging market investments over recent months. To gauge market prospects over the rest of 2024, Udith Sikand examined the macroeconomic outlook for the major emerging markets ex-China, while Thomas Gatley assessed the chances of a revival of animal spirits in the Middle Kingdom.
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Webinar: Asset Allocation For The Ages

Webinar: Asset Allocation For The Ages

8 Mar 2024
In recent years, Charles Gave and Didier Darcet have headed an initiative in Paris to develop a more perfect form of asset allocation. In this webinar, they review how their asset allocation strategy works during phase changes in the economic environment, as now seems to be the case.
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Webinar: Reading The Market’s Conflicting Signals

Webinar: Reading The Market’s Conflicting Signals

23 Feb 2024
So far in 2024, yields have rebounded on stronger-than-expected growth and inflation, along with heavy issuance by the US Treasury. Yet the rally in equities has continued undismayed, with especially strong gains in big US growth stocks. With the bond market and equity market sending conflicting signals, Anatole and Louis examined the macro and market scenarios for the rest of the year and drew conclusions for asset allocation.
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Webinar: The US And Europe Compared

Webinar: The US And Europe Compared

9 Feb 2024
A soft-landing scenario looks to be playing out in the US, with inflation heading towards the Federal Reserve’s 2% target and growth humming along. Across the pond, the eurozone seems to be headed the same way, albeit with lower growth. Our team of specialists asked if such an “immaculate disinflation” is possible on both sides of the Atlantic and explored what it means for relative monetary policy settings and asset price performance.
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