RESEARCH
Gavekal Research
Gavekal Dragonomics
Gavekal-IS
Gavekal Technologies
Videos
AUTHORS
Gavekal Research
Louis-Vincent Gave
Charles Gave
Anatole Kaletsky
August Gudmundsson
Cedric Gemehl
Pierre Gave
Simon Pritchard
Tan Kai Xian
Tom Holland
Tom Miller
Udith Sikand
Will Denyer
Gavekal Dragonomics
Andrew Batson
Arthur Kroeber
Christopher Beddor
Ernan Cui
Thomas Gatley
Tilly Zhang
Wei He
Xiaoxi Zhang
Gavekal-IS
Didier Darcet
Gavekal Technologies
Arthur Kroeber
Laila Khawaja
Tom Hancock
Damien Ma
REGIONS
America
China
Europe
Asia
DASHBOARD
Gavekal Dashboard
Personal Dashboard
EVENTS
Login
Search results
Sort by:
Date
Relevance
10
20
50
100
items per page
Found 13074 results
Video: The Politics Of Central Banking
Cedric Gemehl
/
Gavekal Research
|
25 Sep 2025
Donald Trump’s attempts to lean on Federal Reserve policymakers to cut US interest are a reminder that central bank independence is not set in stone, and that monetary policy everywhere is potentially at risk of political interference. In this week’s interview, Gavekal European economist Cedric Gemehl assesses the vulnerability of the Bank of England and the European Central Bank in an age of rising political populism.
View
A Turkish Portfolio For France
Charles Gave
/
Gavekal Research
|
25 Sep 2025
Should investors adopt a “Turkish portfolio” for France, and even for the United States? To answer this strange question, Charles goes back to the first principles of his method for analyzing portfolios, and then reminds readers about the nature of his Turkish portfolio.
View
The Long Bid In European Credit
August Gudmundsson
,
Cedric Gemehl
/
Gavekal Research
|
24 Sep 2025
Tight spreads despite heavy issuance are testimony to the strength of demand for European corporate debt. These favorable conditions are set to persist through 2026, write August and Cedric, as cyclical drivers in the market are supplemented by emerging structural forces, including long-awaited regulatory reforms.
View
The ‘Fort Monroe’ Doctrine In Practice
Louis-Vincent Gave
/
Gavekal Research
|
24 Sep 2025
When Marco Rubio decided that his first foreign trip as US secretary of state would be to Latin America, it was a statement of the US administration’s intent: to rebuild what Gavekal came to call in our research “Fort Monroe”. Louis argues this new “Fort Monroe” doctrine has been in full view in recent weeks.
View
What Happens When The Trade Surplus Falls?
Andrew Batson
,
Thomas Gatley
/
Gavekal Dragonomics
|
24 Sep 2025
China’s government appears increasingly confident that it can meet its 5% GDP growth target for 2025. But Andrew and Thomas argue that in a purely accounting sense, what has kept GDP growth close to the target in 2025 is the combination of an expanding trade surplus and deflation—and it is hard for the trade surplus to expand indefinitely.
View
India Macro Update: Downside Risks Abound
Udith Sikand
,
Tom Miller
/
Gavekal Research
|
23 Sep 2025
India’s domestic economic recovery is at risk as Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government faces a lose-lose choice: continue to import cheap oil from its long-time ally Russia or face punitive tariffs in its biggest export market. Last week’s US interest rate cut will give the central bank more room to cut rates, but the underperformance of Indian asset prices looks set to continue.
View
Chasing An Emergency Response
Tan Kai Xian
/
Gavekal Research
|
23 Sep 2025
The US government is weighing whether to declare a housing emergency this fall in order to make homes more affordable and address a key voter concern ahead of next year’s midterms. Investors have responded to its assertion of political intent by bidding up homebuilder stocks over the last two months. The worry is that solutions to make housing more affordable conflict with core parts of President Donald Trump’s wider agenda.
View
The Contours Of Competition
Laila Khawaja
,
Damien Ma
,
Tilly Zhang
,
Tom Hancock
/
Gavekal Research
|
22 Sep 2025
In this edition of Gavekal Technologies Briefing, we examine several facets of the US-China tech competition: the elusive TikTok deal, the threats to biotech, the different profit models for AI developers, and China’s massive advantage in battery chemistry.
View
The Contours Of Competition
Laila Khawaja
,
Damien Ma
,
Tilly Zhang
,
Tom Hancock
/
Gavekal Technologies, Chips
|
22 Sep 2025
In this edition of Gavekal Technologies Briefing, we examine several facets of the US-China tech competition: the elusive TikTok deal, the threats to biotech, the different profit models for AI developers, and China’s massive advantage in battery chemistry.
View
China’s TikTok Edge
Arthur Kroeber
/
Gavekal Research
|
22 Sep 2025
Trade talks through the third week of September showed once again that China has a decent hand, and is playing it well against the US. Donald Trump seems to want a deal more than Xi Jinping does, and China has its fingers on several pressure points that enable it to prolong the negotiations at low cost. One of these pressure points is TikTok: Beijing is taking full advantage of Trump’s hunger to gain control of the short-video app.
View
10
20
50
100
items per page
« First
<
1
2
3
4
5
…
>
Last »
