Gavekal Technologies

Most recent

The Successes And Failures Of US Export Controls

Gavekal Technologies: Chips

Lock

The Successes And Failures Of US Export Controls

Laila Khawaja
4 Dec 2025
Since 2019, Washington has implemented a series of technology export controls on China with the broad objectives of slowing its ability to develop advanced AI and build an indigenous semiconductor ecosystem. The idea is to to protect US national security given AI’s dual-use nature, and to preserve US technological leadership. These measures take the form of country-wide and entity-specific restrictions. They cover exports of advanced chips, semiconductor manufacturing equipment and materials, and US-person support services, with extraterritorial reach for some items.
Do Export Controls Work?

Gavekal Technologies: Briefing

Lock

Do Export Controls Work?

Laila Khawaja, Damien Ma, Tom Hancock
1 Dec 2025
China’s technology companies face two big external obstacles to progress. Semiconductor companies and AI developers have to deal with US export controls while electric vehicle and green energy companies are up against protectionist barriers. But how effective are these barriers really?