Rosealea Yao
China Investment Analyst
Rosealea is a senior analyst in the Beijing office and has been with the firm since 2007. She is a specialist on the Chinese property market, and also works on energy, infrastructure and other issues related to the investment side of the economy. Before joining Gavekal, she worked at the Chinese Institute of CPAs in Beijing. Rosealea studied economics at the University of Manchester, where she earned an MSc degree with distinction, and graduated from Renmin University in 1999.
For Rosealea's article archive click here.
Recent Articles
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Gavekal Dragonomics
December 10, 2018
Steel Prices Have Overshot
Chinese steel prices suffered their biggest decline in two years in November, falling about 20% over the course of the month. That correction was driven by a combination of a big increase in supply along with worries about future demand. In this piece, Rosealea argues that both problems will be short-lived, and that steel prices can rebound.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
November 19, 2018
Housing & Construction Review 2018
China’s property market has had a record-breaking run, but where is it headed next? In this concise chartbook, Rosealea delivers her annual overview of the key drivers of housing sales and construction activity and explains the outlook for 2019. An overdue correction in sales is coming, but construction should hold up relatively well.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
November 8, 2018
The Many Misjudgments Of Supply-Side Reform
Supply-side reform, Xi Jinping’s signature policy of cutting excess capacity in steel, coal and other industries, is widely considered a success. Yet Rosealea’s extensive review finds that this campaign was marred by repeated misjudgments that caused undesired spikes in prices. The justifications for continuing the policy are now wearing thin.