Rosealea Yao
China Investment Analyst
Rosealea is a senior analyst in the Beijing office and has been with the firm since 2007. She is a specialist on the Chinese property market, and also works on energy, infrastructure and other issues related to the investment side of the economy. Before joining Gavekal, she worked at the Chinese Institute of CPAs in Beijing. Rosealea studied economics at the University of Manchester, where she earned an MSc degree with distinction, and graduated from Renmin University in 1999.
For Rosealea's article archive click here.
Recent Articles
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Gavekal Dragonomics
February 12, 2020
The Lingering Impact On Property
While the 2003 SARS outbreak had only a transitory impact on China’s housing market, the 2020 coronavirus episode is proving to be much more serious. In this piece, Rosealea argues that the big hit to housing sales will leave developers short of cash and limit their ability to keep projects going. This points to a lingering drag on construction.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
January 8, 2020
The Mortgage Rate Reset
China’s central bank is moving forward with its interest-rate reforms, ordering mortgages to be reset based on the new loan prime rate. Rosealea explains that this shift will make monetary policy more transparent and effective by re-linking mortgage rates to official policy rates, but it does not herald a cycle of major cuts in mortgage rates.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
December 3, 2019
The Back Door Is Still Closed
A slew of new government policies has boosted market expectations for China’s infrastructure spending in 2020. But Rosealea counsels caution: while new measures have opened the “front door” of approved funding a bit wider, more important is that the “back door” of shadow financing remains firmly closed. A big rebound in public works is unlikely.