Nick Andrews
Europe Analyst
Nick has spent the last 12 years involved in trading, analyzing or writing about European markets and the global economy. At Morgan Stanley for seven years he divided his time between the interest rate swap and repo markets before returning to university to complete a masters in economics. During that time he also wrote for the Wall Street Journal covering fixed income markets. After graduating in 2011 from London's Birkbeck College, he worked for David Roche's investment consultancy, Independent Strategy, before joining Gavekal Research in 2013. Nick also has a degree in engineering from Edinburgh University.
For Nick's article archive click here.
The Daily
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Gavekal Research
July 23, 2018
What US Auto Tariffs Would Mean For Europe
Last week’s public hearings in Washington heard a chorus of industry opposition to the US administration’s proposed import tariffs on cars and car parts. But in Europe at least, markets appear to be coming around to the view that the tariffs will go ahead regardless.
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Gavekal Research
July 10, 2018
The Message From Eurozone Credit
Should we worry that eurozone corporate bond spreads have doubled since late January? After all, bond yields are rising globally and as deflationary risks have ebbed the European Central Bank has signaled its intent to normalize monetary policy. Yet, looking back at the eurozone’s last cycle, policy was tightened without spreads blowing out.
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Gavekal Research
June 28, 2018
Slower Eurozone Growth Ahead
Wednesday was another grim day for European bank stocks, which are now down almost -24% from their late January peak. Yesterday Louis looked at the reasons behind the slump in bank shares globally, and attempted to find a silver lining to the dark cloud of their underperformance (see The Message From Bank Stocks).
Ideas
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Gavekal Research
May 18, 2018
A UK Consumer Reckoning
This week saw the release of moderately good news for the Brexit-bound UK economy, as wages rose the most in almost three years. With inflation moderating, real incomes have edged higher, giving hope that consumption can again fire up growth.
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Gavekal Research
May 16, 2018
The Next Phase Of Eurozone Reform
During last year’s French presidential election, Emmanuel Macron opened a debate by asking “what do we want to do with the euro?” His answer was more political integration and burden sharing.
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Gavekal Research
February 12, 2018
Five Ways To Play European Equities
After a traumatic couple of weeks in the equity markets, Nick and Cedric take this opportunity to revisit their longstanding advice that investors should overweight European mid-caps exposed to the eurozone’s cyclical upturn.