Ernan Cui
China Consumer Analyst
Ernan covers a wide range of topics related to Chinese consumers at Gavekal Dragonomics, including the labor market, demographics, urbanization, and household savings and debts; she also tracks trends in major consumer-related sectors such as retailing, autos, tourism, and healthcare, as well as agriculture and food. She is often quoted by major media outlets including the Financial Times, Reuters, Bloomberg, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Economist.
A native of Tianjin, Ernan joined the Beijing office of Gavekal Dragonomics in 2013. She previously interned at Standard Chartered and Accenture, and was a part-time researcher at the University of Chicago's Beijing Center. Ernan graduated from Renmin University of China with an MA in economics and a double bachelor’s degree in economics and mathematics.
For Ernan's article archive click here.
Recent Articles
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Gavekal Dragonomics
June 11, 2019
Tourism Falls Victim To The Trade War
The boom in China’s outbound tourism could go down as another casualty of the trade war. As Ernan explains in this piece, the combination of a weakening currency and rising political tensions is becoming a major drag on international travel by Chinese—just as the structural factors driving outbound tourism growth are shifting into a lower gear.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
May 23, 2019
The Household Debt Service Burden
The rapid rise in China’s household debt has become a major concern for markets and policymakers. While most analysis looks at the household debt-to-GDP ratio, in this report Ernan calculates the household debt service ratio for a better angle on the problem. She finds that the debt burden on household budgets will keep increasing in 2019.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
April 16, 2019
An Epidemic That Can No Longer Be Denied
The world’s deadliest pig disease is now established in the world’s largest pork market. The spread of African swine fever in China has been more severe than the government has admitted, and as a result pork prices are spiking and imports are surging. But as Ernan argues in this report, the impact of this epidemic is still only in its early stages.