Ernan Cui
China Consumer Analyst
A native of Tianjin, Ernan Cui joined the Beijing office of Gavekal Dragonomics in 2013 as an analyst mainly covering consumer issues in China. She previously interned at Standard Chartered and Accenture, and was a part-time researcher at the University of Chicago's Beijing Center. Ernan graduated from Renmin University of China with an MA in economics and a double bachelor’s degree in economics and mathematics.
For Ernan's article archive click here.
Recent Articles
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Gavekal Dragonomics
April 20, 2018
New Jobless Rate, Same Old Problems
China has moved to rid itself of a longstanding statistical embarrassment, replacing its discredited unemployment data with a new survey based on international standards. But as Ernan explains, the old problems have not gone away: the new jobless rate is still implausibly low and stable, and likely still subject to political manipulation.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
February 22, 2018
Taming The Inflation Risk From Pork
What are the odds that China has a surprise jump in inflation this year? In China, surges in the CPI are usually driven by food—particularly highly cyclical pork prices. But while food inflation is likely to turn positive this year, Ernan argues that the odds of an inflation spike are low, as farm consolidation has tamed the pork price cycle.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
January 31, 2018
Tightening The Grip On Urbanization
The populations of Shanghai and Beijing, China’s two largest cities, declined in 2017, in a clear sign that urbanization policies are being enforced more strictly under Xi Jinping. In this piece, Ernan explains how planners have gotten more effective in restricting growth of the largest cities, how controls on almost all cities have tightened.