Ernan Cui
China Consumer Analyst
Ernan covers a wide range of topics related to Chinese consumers at Gavekal Dragonomics, including the labor market, demographics, urbanization, and household savings and debts; she also tracks trends in major consumer-related sectors such as retailing, autos, tourism, and healthcare, as well as agriculture and food. She is often quoted by major media outlets including the Financial Times, Reuters, Bloomberg, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Economist.
A native of Tianjin, Ernan joined the Beijing office of Gavekal Dragonomics in 2013. She previously interned at Standard Chartered and Accenture, and was a part-time researcher at the University of Chicago's Beijing Center. Ernan graduated from Renmin University of China with an MA in economics and a double bachelor’s degree in economics and mathematics.
For Ernan's article archive click here.
Recent Articles
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Gavekal Dragonomics
September 10, 2019
The Next Stage Of The Pork Crisis
The African swine fever crisis in China is reaching a new stage as prices for pigs and pork spiral upward at an unprecedented pace. The government is responding with a combination of subsidies for pork farms, as well as rationing and price caps. But this is a short-term strategy that will not contain the ASF epidemic and could even worsen it.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
August 21, 2019
Consumer Spending Growth Grinds Lower
With exports and domestic investment both weakening, China’s government hopes that consumer spending will support growth. The bad news is that all indicators of consumer spending are still softening. With a deteriorating job market weighing on household income Chinese consumer spending is set to weaken further over the coming quarters.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
July 9, 2019
The Emissions Mess In Autos
China’s auto market is still locked in the worst downturn in its history. In this report, Ernan explains how the government’s rushed transition to new vehicle-emissions standards worsened that downturn, and why it hasn’t reversed course. Though an end-year recovery for auto sales is still likely, 2019 will be a second bad year for the industry.