Ernan Cui
China Consumer Analyst
Ernan covers a wide range of topics related to Chinese consumers at Gavekal Dragonomics, including the labor market, demographics, urbanization, and household savings and debts; she also tracks trends in major consumer-related sectors such as retailing, autos, tourism, and healthcare, as well as agriculture and food. She is often quoted by major media outlets including the Financial Times, Reuters, Bloomberg, the New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Economist.
A native of Tianjin, Ernan joined the Beijing office of Gavekal Dragonomics in 2013. She previously interned at Standard Chartered and Accenture, and was a part-time researcher at the University of Chicago's Beijing Center. Ernan graduated from Renmin University of China with an MA in economics and a double bachelor’s degree in economics and mathematics.
For Ernan's article archive click here.
Recent Articles
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Gavekal Dragonomics
July 9, 2019
The Emissions Mess In Autos
China’s auto market is still locked in the worst downturn in its history. In this report, Ernan explains how the government’s rushed transition to new vehicle-emissions standards worsened that downturn, and why it hasn’t reversed course. Though an end-year recovery for auto sales is still likely, 2019 will be a second bad year for the industry.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
June 11, 2019
Tourism Falls Victim To The Trade War
The boom in China’s outbound tourism could go down as another casualty of the trade war. As Ernan explains in this piece, the combination of a weakening currency and rising political tensions is becoming a major drag on international travel by Chinese—just as the structural factors driving outbound tourism growth are shifting into a lower gear.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
May 23, 2019
The Household Debt Service Burden
The rapid rise in China’s household debt has become a major concern for markets and policymakers. While most analysis looks at the household debt-to-GDP ratio, in this report Ernan calculates the household debt service ratio for a better angle on the problem. She finds that the debt burden on household budgets will keep increasing in 2019.