Dan Wang
Technology Analyst
Dan Wang writes about technology. He was born in Yunnan, grew up in Canada (where he was a Royal Canadian Army Cadet), went to high school in the US, and worked in Silicon Valley. His work on China and technology has been quoted by the Financial Times, Bloomberg, the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and the Economist. He double-majored in philosophy and economics at the University of Rochester.
Dan goes on expeditions of mushroom picking, which he considers an excellent source of lessons for risk/reward tradeoffs. He writes occasional essays on his personal site: danwang.co
For Dan's article archive click here.
The Daily
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Gavekal Research
January 29, 2019
A Huawei-Scale Problem
The charges that US prosecutors have now filed against telecom equipment supplier Huawei are similar to those thrown at two other Chinese tech firms last year. The eventual outcome is likely to be similar: the imposition of export controls that will threaten Huawei’s survival and force it to accede to a restrictive deal with the US government.
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Gavekal Research
January 17, 2019
Trump's Next Trade Target
Just when the risk from trade politics seemed to be dying down, it’s getting complicated again. Trade talks between the United States and China are in full swing, but just as important are imminent negotiations between the US and the European Union, which are clouded by the US threat to impose tariffs on cars and car parts.
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Gavekal Research
October 31, 2018
First Blood In The Long Tech War
Washington has opened a new front in the US-China economic cold war by slapping controls on exports of all “commodities, software and technology” to Chinese chipmaker Fujian Jinhua Integrated Circuit. The breath of the national security justification cited for this action escalates the US-China confrontation over technology to a new level.
Ideas
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Gavekal Dragonomics
June 17, 2019
Taking Intellectual Property Seriously
It is easy to forget that the US trade war with China is founded on the issue of intellectual property—and to miss the fact that, despite the breakdown in trade talks, China is pushing through many legal changes to improve IP protection. But as Dan explains, while the technical improvements are real, so is political pressure on the legal system.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
May 21, 2019
The Fate Of Huawei
The US government has China’s most prominent technology firm in a stranglehold. The question now is whether the US government continues to strangle Huawei until it goes out of business, or chooses to eventually stop squeezing and allow a weakened Huawei to keep operating under some limitations. In this report, Dan explores the possible scenarios.
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Gavekal Research
April 12, 2019
The End Of The Smartphone S-Curve
Smartphones are a maturing industry. Sales in China, the US, Europe and Japan are declining, and demand growth in India and Africa is not fast enough to drive a new surge in global sales. The industry is hoping that 5G and foldable phones will trigger a fresh upgrade cycle. But neither will drive a significant increase of sales in the near term.