Dan Wang
Technology Analyst
Dan Wang writes about technology. He was born in Yunnan, grew up in Canada (where he was a Royal Canadian Army Cadet), went to high school in the US, and worked in Silicon Valley. His work on China and technology has been quoted by the Financial Times, Bloomberg, the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, and the Economist. He double-majored in philosophy and economics at the University of Rochester.
Dan goes on expeditions of mushroom picking, which he considers an excellent source of lessons for risk/reward tradeoffs. He writes occasional essays on his personal site: danwang.co
For Dan's article archive click here.
The Daily
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Gavekal Research
January 16, 2020
A Tough Ask On Trade, Trouble Brewing On Tech
The story we’ve been telling for the past few months is that the conclusion of the US-China trade deal will reduce global macro risk in 2020, but tech-specific risk will still be an issue because of continued efforts by the US to constrain the rise of China’s technology sector and in particular Huawei.
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Gavekal Research
June 27, 2019
A Cold War Interglacial
It is now almost certain that presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will restart trade talks at the G20 summit in Osaka this weekend. Moreover, discussions in Washington suggest that there is a good chance these talks will result in a deal in the next few months. Our core scenario now is that macro risk from an escalating trade war is receding.
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Gavekal Research
January 29, 2019
A Huawei-Scale Problem
The charges that US prosecutors have now filed against telecom equipment supplier Huawei are similar to those thrown at two other Chinese tech firms last year. The eventual outcome is likely to be similar: the imposition of export controls that will threaten Huawei’s survival and force it to accede to a restrictive deal with the US government.
Ideas
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Gavekal Dragonomics
November 13, 2019
The Weakening Bite Of US Tech Sanctions
US sanctions on Chinese technology companies have grown progressively less effective since the US government used them to take down ZTE. Huawei has refused to collapse, and other targeted firms are not too troubled. In this piece, Dan explains why export controls, once the kiss of death, are becoming just another operational challenge.
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Gavekal Dragonomics
September 12, 2019
Putting The Squeeze On Tech
The Trump administration has shown the world that it is willing and able to inflict severe pain on China’s top technology firms. But can the US really squeeze China hard enough to cut it off from global R&D, or stop all advances by Chinese companies?
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Gavekal Dragonomics
September 4, 2019
Taiwan’s Manufacturers Rethink Reliance On China
Could Taiwan be a winner in the US-China trade war? As Dan reports in this piece, US tariffs have succeeded in getting major contract manufacturers of electronics to shift jobs out of China, some of which are going to Taiwan. But this trend is not enough to end Taiwan’s dependence on Chinese growth, or its vulnerability to Chinese competition.