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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    Facing Up To Facts: Fuel Price Reform

    With the price of crude oil now under US$50 a barrel, the discussion of Chinese energy pricing policy has reversed course. Six months ago, with the crude price at US$150, the question was how long China could sustain subsidies to keep retail fuel prices low. Today the question is when China will impose a fuel tax and liberalize its rigid price regime for gasoline and diesel. The answer is: soon. Policy makers recognize that price reform is...

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 November 24th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-24.You can download it here: 0483_DragonWeek_081124.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 November 17th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-17.You can download it here: 0482_DragonWeek_081117.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Energy Efficiency in Chinese Industry

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-17.You can download it here: 025_2008-11_Komesaroff_Industrial efficiency1.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Are We Underestimating China's Export Exposure?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-17.You can download it here: GKChina081117.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Energy Weekly - OPEC's Exaggerated Claims

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-17.You can download it here: GKChina0811171.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Industrial Policy and Climate Change in China

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-14.You can download it here: 024_2008-11_Seligsohn_Energy and climate change.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Macro Quarterly - Q4 2008

    China economic outlook: November 2008

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Energy Weekly - How Will China's Stimulus Plan Affect Oil Demand

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-11.You can download it here: GaveKalEnergyDailyHowWillChinasStimulusPlanAffectO.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 November 10th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-10.You can download it here: 0481_DragonWeek_081110.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - China Pulling Out All the Stops

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-10.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyChinaPullingOutAlltheStops.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 November 4th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-04.You can download it here: 0480_DragonWeek_081104.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - China Makes a Big Move

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-03.You can download it here: GKCheckingtheBoxesReports081103.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Energy Weekly - China's Coming Energy Policy Reforms

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-11-03.You can download it here: GKCommodities081103.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 October 27th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-10-27.You can download it here: 0479_DragonWeek_081027.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 October 20th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-10-20.You can download it here: 0478_DragonWeek_081020.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Apres Le Deluge: China in the Credit Crunch Aftermath

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-10-15.You can download it here: ApresLeDelugeChinaintheCreditCrunchAftermath.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Balance of Financial Power After the Credit Crisis

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-10-03.You can download it here: TheBalanceofFinancialPowerAftertheCreditCrisis.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 September 29th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-29.You can download it here: 0476_DragonWeek_080929.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Energy Weekly - China's Oil Demand Wanes

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-29.You can download it here: GaveKalEnergyWeekly2.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A Quick Look at Other Bail-outs

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-23.You can download it here: AQuickLookatOtherBailouts.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The European Divergence Trade

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-23.You can download it here: TheEuropeanDivergenceTrade.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 September 22nd

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-22.You can download it here: 0475_DragonWeek_080922.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 September 15th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-15.You can download it here: 0474_DragonWeek_080915.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Construction Quarterly - Q3 2008

    [LEFT]China real estate and construction market review: September 2008

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - China Misses the Celebration

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-09.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyChinaMissestheCelebration.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 September 8th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-08.You can download it here: 0473_DragonWeek_0809081.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 September 8th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-08.You can download it here: 0473_DragonWeek_080908.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Post Olympics

    CEQ Q3 2008: Post Olympics

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Metals Man: The Pandaroo Tango

    Australia has benefited more than most countries from the global resource boom. Since 2004 mineral exports have more than doubled and their share of total exports has grown from 35% to 50%. The Reserve Bank of Australia forecasts that this year’s increased iron ore and coal prices are likely to lift the country’s terms of trade by 15% and national income by 2-3% (see “Riding high”). Increased exports boosted mining company returns on equity from...

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Economy

    CEQ Q3 2008: Economy

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Electricity

    CEQ Q3 2008: Electricity

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Market

    CEQ Q3 2008: Markets

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Climate change

    CEQ Q3 2008: Climate change

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Foreign exchange

    CEQ Q3 2008: Foreign exchange

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Huawei Technologies

    CEQ Q3 2008: Huawei Technologies

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q3 2008 - Book review

    CEQ Q3 2008: Book review

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    China Economic Quarterly September 2008 - Climate Change

    China Economic Quarterly Q3 2008: Climate Change

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 September 1st

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-09-01.You can download it here: 0459_DragonWeek_080901.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Enigma variations: unwrapping the riddle of China's electricity industry

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-26.You can download it here: 0458_ChinaInsight_080826_electricity.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Quarterly Strategy Chart Book - 4Q08 - A Very Different Investment Environment -

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-26.You can download it here: QuarterlyStrategyChartBook4Q08AVeryDifferentInves.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 August 25th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-25.You can download it here: 0457_DragonWeek_080825.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A Stimulus Package for China

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-25.You can download it here: AStimulusPackageforChina.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    About that Post-Olympics Hangover

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-25.You can download it here: AboutthatPostOlympicsHangover.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    Please Calm Down: Post-Olympic Growth And Fiscal 'Stimulus'

    As the Olympics draw to a successful close, financial industry China-watchers are obsessed by two stories. First: China’s growth is about to slow dramatically, either as the result of global recessionary trends or because of a post-Olympic hangover. Second, the government is about to step in to counteract that slowdown with a massive fiscal stimulus package.

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Question of the Hour on China

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-22.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyTheQuestionoftheHouronChina.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 August 18th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-19.You can download it here: 0455_DragonWeek_0808181.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 August 18th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-18.You can download it here: 0455_DragonWeek_080818.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 August 4th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-04.You can download it here: 0454_DragonWeek_080804.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Macro Quarterly - Q3 2008

    China economic outlook: July 2008

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Reviewing the US Growth Data

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-08-01.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyReviewingtheUSGrowthData.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Asia's Soft Landing, Despite Europe's Woes

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-31.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyAsiasSoftLandingDespiteEuropesWoes.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 July 28th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-28.You can download it here: 0453_DragonWeek_080728.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Taking a Page from the Hong Kong Playbook

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-28.You can download it here: TakingaPagefromtheHongKongPlaybook.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 July 22nd

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-22.You can download it here: 0452_DragonWeek_080722.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Is China the Cause of the Materials Reversal?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-21.You can download it here: IsChinatheCauseoftheMaterialsReversal.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    Get Ready For The Soft Landing

    There has been a lot of blather over the past few weeks about growth and inflation risks in China. Economists (the ones who grab the headlines anyway) seem about equally divided between those who fear an inflationary explosion - which can only be forestalled by an aggressive currency appreciation - and those who think growth is slowing so precipitously that the government will have to open the monetary taps in the second half of the year.

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Taking a Page from the Hong Kong Playbook

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-17.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyTakingaPagefromtheHongKongPlaybook2.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 July 14th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-14.You can download it here: 0450_DragonWeek_080714.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Asian Godfathers

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-14.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners09050510.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Will Beijing Crank Up the Market Ahead of the Olympics?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-11.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyWillBeijingCrankUptheMarketAheadoftheO.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 July 7th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-07-07.You can download it here: 0449_DragonWeek_080707.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 June 30th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-30.You can download it here: 0448_DragonWeek_080630.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Good & Bad in China

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-30.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyGoodBadinChina.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 June 24th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-24.You can download it here: DragonWeek_2008_0624.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - China's Good News

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-20.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyChinasGoodNews.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 June 16th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-16.You can download it here: 0446_DragonWeek_080616.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    What, Me Worry? China's Oil Subsidies

    With the crude oil price nearing US$140 a barrel and little apparent prospect of relief, a lot of people are asking about the sustainability of China’s energy regime. China has the fiscal room to maintain refined oil subsidies for far longer than most other Asiancountries, and it will almost certainly do so. Systematic under-pricing of energy has played a role in China’s recent economic growth, but a far smaller one than generally recognized. So...

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    Gavekal Research

    Asia's Crowded Trades Unwind

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-13.You can download it here: AsiasCrowdedTradesUnwind.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Asia's Inflation Struggle

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-13.You can download it here: AsiasInflationStruggle.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A "Plan B" For Oil?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-12.You can download it here: APlanBForOil.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Construction Quarterly - Q2 2008

    China real estate and construction market review: June 2008

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Consuming China

    CEQ Q2 2008: Consuming China

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Energy

    CEQ Q2 2008: Energy

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Markets

    CEQ Q2 2008: Markets

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - State-owned enterprises

    China Economic Quarterly Q2 2008: SOEs

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - SOE policy

    Since their low point in the mid-1990s, China’s state-owned enterprises (SOEs) have made a stunning return to profitability. In the mid-1990s, industrial SOEs were losing almost as much money as they were making. At the low point in 1997, once all losses were set off against all profits, the entire state-owned industrial sector made total profits just below 0.6% of GDP. Since then the world has changed dramatically: in 2007, state industrial...

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Economy

    CEQ Q2 2008: Economy

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Enterprise reform

    CEQ Q2 2008: Enterprise reform

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Efficiency

    CEQ Q2 2008: Efficiency

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - SOEs in pictures

    CEQ Q4 2008: SOEs in pictures

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Fiscal policy

    CEQ Q2 2008: Fiscal policy

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Commercial banks and CIC

    CEQ Q2 2008: Commercial banks and CIC

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Books

    CEQ Q2 2008: Books

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2008 - Metals Man: Smelters Away

    China’s aluminium industry is a classic example of the law of unintended consequences. For a decade, economic planners issued policies designed to limit the growth of this energy-hogging industry. Yet paradoxically, these very policies spurred a round of technical innovation that led to an explosion of aluminium production, with the result that China is now far and away the world’s biggest producer of the metal. Beijing has changed its approach...

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 June 9th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-09.You can download it here: 0444_DragonWeek_080609.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    China Economic Quarterly June 2008 - State-owned Enterprises

    A decade ago China’s state-owned enterprises threatenedthe entire economy. Today they are fantastically profitable andand moving aggressively into global markets. What happened? This issue of the China Economic Quarterly digs into the revival of China's state sector to find out how much has really changed, and why.

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Questions Plaguing China

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-03.You can download it here: GaveKalDailyQuestionsPlaguingChina.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 June 2nd

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-06-02.You can download it here: 0428_DragonWeek_080602.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 May 27th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-05-30.You can download it here: 0427_DragonWeek_0805271.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 May 20th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-05-20.You can download it here: 0426_DragonWeek_0805201.pdf

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    DragonWeek 2008 May 20th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-05-20.You can download it here: 0426_DragonWeek_0805202.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A Roadmap for Troubling Times--by Louis-Vincent Gave

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-05-20.You can download it here: ARoadmapforTroublingTimesbyLouisVincentGave.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Quarterly Strategy Chart Book - 3Q08 - The Purpose of a Bear Market

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-05-15.You can download it here: QuarterlyStrategyChartBook3Q08ThePurposeofaBearMar1.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 May 12th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-05-12.You can download it here: 0425_DragonWeek_080512.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Macro Quarterly - Q2 2008

    China economic outlook: June 2008

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    Gavekal Research

    New Valuation Tools

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-05-06.You can download it here: NewValuationTools1.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Reasons the Market Feels Good About Taiwan

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-05-01.You can download it here: ReasonstheMarketFeelsGoodAboutTaiwan.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Dragonomics office closure

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-04-30.You can download it here: Holiday closure.pdf

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek 2008 Apr 28th

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2008-04-28.You can download it here: 0424_DragonWeek_080428.pdf

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