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    Gavekal Research

    The Coming German Housing Boom

    In the decade between the Asian Crisis and the US sub-prime bust, real estate in almost every Western country roared ahead. Every country except Germany where the residential real estate market scarcely budged.

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Still More Questions Than Answers in Europe

    One of the best TV shows ever produced has to be the British series "Yes Minister," where, in one episode, career bureaucrat Sir Humphrey tells Minister Jim Hacker that 'you can never be certain that something will happen until the government denies it'. With that in mind, Angela Merkel's promise yesterday that Germany will do 'whatever it takes' to save the Euro sounds somewhat hollow. For example, will...

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    Gavekal Research

    Gilts vs OATS

    In the next few years the world will see a fascinating controlled experiment in economic policy. The US and Britain, two economies with very similar structural problems and cyclical positions have started to pursue diametrically opposite fiscal policies. Britain, from this month onwards, has begun the fastest and most ambitious fiscal consolidation ever attempted by a G7 country; meanwhile political gridlock in Washington has more or less...

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    Gavekal Research

    An Easy Fed and a Strong Dollar

    Whatever central bankers may think about the rights and wrongs of Charles’s arguments about the natural rate of interest (and many official economists, especially in Europe and Japan, certainly share Charles’s concerns), the reality is that the Fed is not going to start raising interest rates in the first half of 2011. This can be almost guaranteed following last week’s disappointing non-farm payroll figures. Such is the political importance of...

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    Gavekal Research

    Is EMU Rebalancing Possible?

    As 2010 unfolded, the viability of the European monetary union project became the main ‘x-factor’ for global financial markets. And as the new year starts, we see little reason why 2011 should prove any different. Indeed, the genie is now out of the bottle and the world realizes that the Euro is a political project with significant economic costs. Worse yet for European policymakers, these economic costs are now rapidly mutating into political...

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Is the Euro Low Enough to Save the PIGS?

    We have focused on strong US economic data this week, but of course the US is not the only large economy emitting signs of a solid recovery. German factory orders released yesterday remind us that Northern Europe is in solid shape, with the northern EMU members' trade competitiveness boosted by the Euro's weakening against most currencies. The Euro's real effective exchange rate-calculated by taking into account the weight of each...

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Riksbank Pushes On Despite Trouble to the South

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-16.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101216.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    More Europe or Less Europe?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-14.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners101214.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The UK in 2011

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-14.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1012141.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Latvia's Rerating--A Hope for the PIGS

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-13.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1012131.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Tough Road Ahead for the UK

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-10.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101210.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Meaning of the Rise in Bond Yields

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-09.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101209.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - An EMU Crisis--and Rising Bond Yields

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-08.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1012083.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - US Sunshine Overshadows European Clouds

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-03.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1012031.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - What Could Stop the European Doomsday Machine?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-02.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101202.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A New Idea to Save the Euro

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-02.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1012021.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    QSCB - 1Q11 - Where Will Earnings Growth Be Found?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-12-01.You can download it here: GKQuarterlyStrategy101201.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Intriguing Inability of Safe-Haven Bonds to Rally on EMU Crisis

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-30.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101130.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    EMU Debt Crisis, Part III

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-29.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1011291.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Good, the Bad and the Ugly

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-29.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1011292.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Euro Debate, Part II

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-26.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment101126.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Don't Miss the Global Growth Story

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-25.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1011252.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Silver Linings in an Increasingly Dark Sky

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-24.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101124.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - From Sovereign Crisis to Banking Crisis

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-22.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101122.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Opportunities and Bubbles in Cleantech VC

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-22.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners10112210.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Italy, PIGS and the Systemic Elasticity

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-19.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1011191.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Who is the Better Card Player?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-17.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment101117.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - High Stakes

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-17.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101117.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Is the Strong Euro a Threat for the Eurozone?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-16.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners101116.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Misleading Averages

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-16.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1011161.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Baltic Resurgence

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-16.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1011163.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Virtue of Knowing What's in the Sausage

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-16.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1011164.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    What If Ireland Taps the EU Emergency Fund?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-12.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment101112.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Policy Mix and Volatility

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-03.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners101103.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Debate Over QE2

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-03.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1011032.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The German Call, Bernanke Put and Profitability

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-03.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1011033.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Long Gilt, Short Treasuries Trade

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-03.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1011034.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Revisiting Europe's New Export Champions

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-02.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1011022.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - In This Recovery the Difference is Corporate Profitability

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-01.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101101.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Things Have Changed Since Jackson Hole

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-28.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101028.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The UK's Strong GDP Figures

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-27.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101027.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Signs of a US-China Detente

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-25.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101025.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Global Tea Party Movement?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-22.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101022.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The True Weight of Governments

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-19.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners101019.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Circle of Manipulation Lives On

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-19.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101019.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Four Merits of Russia's Accession to WTO

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-19.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1010192.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Britain's Quantitative Easing

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-19.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1010193.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Battle Lines Are Drawn in France

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-19.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1010191.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Has the Euro Proven Itself?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-19.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment101019.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Growth - Dispersion and Sentiment

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-13.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101013.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Love and Disdain in the FX Markets

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-06.You can download it here: GKDailyReport101006.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Is the SEK Rally Really Sustainable?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-10-05.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1010054.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Strength of the Euro

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-30.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1009301.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Property, Policy and Politics in Korea

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-27.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1009274.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The German Dilemma and Europe's Fat Tail Risk

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-20.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100920.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Quarterly Strategy Chart Book 4Q10 - The Age of Economic Dispersion

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-17.You can download it here: GKQuarterlyStrategy1009173.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Questions Behind the JPY Intervention

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-15.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100915.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - More RMB Action as Political Tensions Rise

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-13.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100913.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    How the World Works

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-10.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1009101.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Renewed Fears on Ireland

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-07.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100907.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    How Low Will US Housing Go?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-06.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1009062.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Multiple Bond Sell Signals

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-06.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1009066.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Sweden, the Output Gap and Global Bond Valuations

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-03.You can download it here: GKEnergyWeekly100903.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The End of German Deflation

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-01.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1009011.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Sustainability of Wind

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-27.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1008271.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - In Which Direction Will the Next Panic Come?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-23.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100823.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A US$2,000bn Rebalancing

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-09.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1008091.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Back to Work

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-09.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1008092.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Breaking the Curse?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-09.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1008093.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The German Question

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-09.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1008094.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Where Do European Profits Come From?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-06.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100806.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Discussing the European Outperformance

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-05.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment100805.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Is It Still Time to Overweight Europe?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-08-03.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment100803.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Europe's Outperformance and Strong Data

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-26.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100726.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - A Worrying Development

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-19.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100719.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A Less Cyclical Korea

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-19.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1007192.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Cocorico

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-14.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1007141.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A Competitive Euro

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-12.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners100712.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The New Export Champions

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-07.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1007072.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Confusion of Problems

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-07.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1007071.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Credit Easing, Part Deux

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-05.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100705.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Britian Starts First

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-05.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners100705.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    On Euro Purchasing Power

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-05.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1007052.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Riksbank Dilemma

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-01.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100701.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - An Interesting Story of Risk Diversification

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-29.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1006291.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Correlations Break Down

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-28.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100628.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    A New Asset Class?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-28.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1006281.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Greece, a New Trojan Horse

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-28.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1006282.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The UK Budget Goes Down Well

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-28.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1006284.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - This is No Dunkirk Budget

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-23.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1006231.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Outperformance of European Equities since May 7

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-22.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100622.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    China Aids Greece with an Eye to Europe

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-21.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1006213.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Is Fiscal Discipine Becoming "Populist"?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-17.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1006172.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Risk Appetite Perks Up

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-15.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100615.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Negative Turn on Global Bond Markets

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-10.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100610.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Quarterly Strategy Chart Book 3Q10 - The Great Rebalancing

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-10.You can download it here: GKQuarterlyStrategy1006101.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    What the Oil Executives Say About BP

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-08.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1006081.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - What Will Follow the Euro Lower?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-07.You can download it here: GKDailyReport1006072.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - The Ball is Now in Trichet's Court

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-03.You can download it here: GKDailyReport100603.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Europe's Second Wave of Supply Side Reforms

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-01.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1006011.pdf

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