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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek - May 2011 Data

    DragonWeek: An opinionated weekly guide to China's economic news

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2011 - Economic Survey

    CEQ economic survey (Q2 2011)

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q2 2011 - Public Debt

    Public debt: The magic mountain

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek - SME Credit Crunch

    DragonWeek: An opinionated weekly guide to China's economic news

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek - Currency Tactics

    DragonWeek: An opinionated weekly guide to China's economic news

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    The Magic Mountain: China's Public Debt

    One of the persistent concerns about China’s recent boom is that it has been financed by excessive debt, and that this debt burden will trigger a fiscal or financial crisis. The concern is heightened because the complex and opaque structure of China’s government borrowing makes it very hard to figure out the true scale of the state’s liabilities. These are certainly far larger than the official figure for central government treasury debt, which...

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek - Q1 2011 Data

    DragonWeek: An opinionated weekly guide to China's economic news

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    Gavekal Research

    More to Come for China Tightening

    High inflation and continued rapid GDP growth in the first quarter have cleared the way for further monetary tightening in China, through interest rate hikes, increases in reserve requirements (RRR) and continued currency appreciation. Premier Wen Jiabao himself said as much before the 1Q11 data was even published late last week, telling the State Council that the government needs to “continue to implement a stable monetary policy and not...

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    Gavekal Research

    A Downbeat Chinese Consumer

    China’s consumers appear to be the most unhappy they have been since the depths of the global financial crisis. The NBS’ monthly consumer confidence index is at its lowest level since early 09. And that is not an isolated reading: an independent consumer confidence survey by Hyperlink Research of Shanghai is more volatile but shows a similar trend.

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek - Nuclear Power Post Fukushima

    DragonWeek - An opinionated weekly guide to China's economic news

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    DragonWeek - 12th Five Year Plan

    A man, a plan, a congress: Decoding Premier Wen's policy promises

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    Gavekal Dragonomics

    CEQ Q1 2011 - Exorbitant Privilege (book review)

    Books: Fizzling influence

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