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    Gavekal Research

    QSCB - 2Q11 - A Structural Turning Point for Markets?

    We would first like to offer our readers an apology: not only are we publishing our Quarterly Strategy Chart Book just 24 hours after the publication of our China Economic Quarterly (with can't miss articles on alternative energy, insurance, RMB deregulation, Mongolia, and the property slowdown), but this quarterly is long as well: a full 74 pages!

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    Gavekal Research

    GaveKal Daily - Signs of Returning Pricing Power

    Six months ago, the US was experiencing a ‘soft patch’ that many feared would turn into a ‘double dip’ recession. And with core price measures already quite weak, there were renewed fears of a deflationary spiral. Inflationary expectations according to TIPS were falling fast. In response, the Fed stepped in aggressively, providing QE1.5 in early August, and then talking up QE2 in late August. Inflation expectations started to recover, and are...

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    Gavekal Research

    A Quick Review of US Job Growth in 2010

    Going into 2011, the odds seem to be that the US$ will come out on top of the next round of the ugly contest between the euro, yen and pound (see The UK in 2011); if only because the current momentum of US economic growth should lead the Fed to soon start managing expectations about how much longer its extreme case of monetary incontinence can last (see Easy Money, Easy Fiscal…but For How Long?).

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    Gavekal Research

    QE2 - The Fifth Phase of the Fed's Crisis Response

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-11-01.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment1011011.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Some Real Improvements in US Personal Income

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-09-06.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1009064.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Lessons From Bernanke's Testimony

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-07-26.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1007261.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Quarterly Strategy Chart Book 3Q10 - The Great Rebalancing

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-10.You can download it here: GKQuarterlyStrategy1006101.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Collapse in M2 Growth

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-06-01.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners100601.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Quarterly Strategy Chart Book 2Q 2010- The Return of Country Risk and What It Means

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-03-03.You can download it here: GKQuarterlyStrategy1003031.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Will This be a Jobless Recovery?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-02-08.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1002085.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Bernanke & Trichet's Monetary Policy Experiments

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2010-01-11.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners1001113.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Fed Won't Raise Its Target Rate Until It Can Hit It

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-12-15.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment091215.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Profits as a Leading Indicator

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-11-17.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners0911172.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    DRAM Wars

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-10-12.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners0910122.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Fed's Exit Strategy

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-09-07.You can download it here: GKAdHocComment0909071.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Enter the Highest Minimum Wage Since 1983

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-07-29.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners090729.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Great Moderation Depends on Flexible Labor

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-06-30.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners0906307.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    Why is Broad Money Still Soaring, in a Credit Crisis?

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-06-17.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners0906175.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Great US Consumption Binge Was All Healthcare

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-06-01.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners0906014.pdf

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    Gavekal Research

    The Belated Bust in US Manufacturing Capacity

    This document is part of our old archive. It was published on 2009-04-07.You can download it here: GKFiveCorners0904071.pdf

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